灯塔说
灯塔说
Established trader It mainly focuses on trading products such as BTC, ETH, and gold and crude oil, which have high liquidity If you want to join a member copy trading, it is recommended to observe for more than one month Click to follow and subscribe first!
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$BTC If the overall market index stabilizes at this stage
then the opportunity for altcoins has come again
Recently, pay more attention to the altcoin market trends.
$BTC If the overall market index stabilizes at this stage
then the opportunity for altcoins has come again
Recently, pay more attention to the altcoin market.
What have I been doing these past two weeks?
The last market update was already two weeks ago.
Review: The 80500 grid short position has already taken profit.
The daily chart adjustment has reached a critical area.
Protectively locking in profits.
What have I been doing during this time?
Watching the market every day, no strong desire to share short-term views.
Attended some gatherings around Pizza Day.
Also met some new and old friends.
Thoughts: Keep progressing, or you’ll fall behind.
What’s the outlook for the market?
$BTC major index (BTC), above 75k, is expected to start a new rebound. Breaking through 78.2K will reverse the 4-hour downtrend structure.
$XAU Gold has also mostly adjusted, downside around 4300-4350, then expected to rise near 5000.
$OIL Crude oil near 90 is not considered for short positions anymore, risk-reward is low, and any twitch from Trump could easily cause a rebound, which is frustrating.
If there really is a ceasefire, breaking 80 is about it; if no ceasefire, a rebound to 110 is about it.
Is a complete ceasefire possible? Not likely, there will definitely be some tug-of-war, even if a ceasefire happens, there will be minor skirmishes.
On the macro side, there’s a lot to watch, can’t cover it all in a sentence or two.
These are my spontaneous thoughts today, just sharing!

灯塔说
Here's my current understanding of the market situation:
$BTC is currently consuming the sell order pressure in the 82-85K range.
At the same time, the Middle East situation hasn't developed in a particularly positive direction yet.
However, a pullback here would be a normal movement.
After the pullback, the uptrend will continue.
The US stock market is strong, so BTC won't drop independently.
The current market is in a strong right-side phase.
If it breaks below the previously mentioned 78,200,
that would only confirm a short-term weakening of the 4-hour level uptrend.
After the pullback, the rise will continue.
Although the daily level is in a downtrend, the bottom has already formed a bullish EMA crossover signal.
This signal, until a bearish death cross reversal occurs, is a long-term hold signal for bottom long positions.
So, trading must be flexible.
If it's a bearish position, wait for the daily rebound to finish or for another death cross on the right side.
If it's a bullish position, hold according to the daily chart (bottom low-leverage contracts or spot).
That's all for tonight.
Haven't rested well these past two days; today I played badminton with Brother Fu @FLS_OTC.
I'm exhausted; as an amateur, I can't beat a pro.
This is a flexible strong (fat) guy.

#在OKX交易美股:AI双雄押哪边?
The clearance of brokers like Tiger and Futu
Maybe the government is making you passively sell at the peak
Look back after many years
To see if that's really the case.
$BTC pierced 74800 then rebounded and reclaimed above 76000, this is a fake breakdown
Next is the bulls
Striving to push towards new highs
If it breaks down below 75000, it will continue to test 73K and 71K
But this is a correction within the mid-term uptrend on the daily chart
After the correction, it will rise again

Before breaking through 74800, the market will not rebound
If it still remains weak after breaking through 74800
It will further look towards 70-71K
$BTC
Billionaire Wang Chun's second flight
But this time it's a two-year deep space journey, flying past Mars and then returning to Earth
My first reaction was, aren't you afraid of accidents?
Have all the details been explained in advance?
Is it that after reaching a certain level of wealth, one starts to become indifferent to life and death and pursues spiritual fulfillment?
If you had billions, would you take such a trip? $BTC #SpaceX递交招股书:首次披露BTC持仓

#美伊30天意向书:Hormuz risk premium narrows. The Supreme Leader of Iran just stated: Uranium can only remain in Iran.
This has a significant impact on the negotiations.
Oil prices are set to rise again.
Gold and Bitcoin are both affected and pulling back.
$BTC $XAU $CL


