ETH毛毛虫
ETH毛毛虫
Four years in the circle|Secondary trader|Digital nomad|Love to tell the truth|Real shouting orders Analysis content|Main analysis of mainstream coins $BTC $ETH - the goal is to hold 1,000 ETH, most of the content is entertainment, and the content is real is my true opinion
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$BSB on Douyin, anything can cause a fight, but our crypto community is relatively harmonious. #纽交所母公司授权OKX推出原油合约 $BTC $ETH


The higher the $BTC price, the more solid the base. In the three bear-bull cycles of BTC from 2012 to 2021, each bear market saw a drop of 72-78%, because the highest points of the previous three bull markets were all below 70,000. Now, we can no longer use the same inference method from the previous three cycles, simply and crudely linking the drop to 72-78%. Starting from the 2025 bull market, each major wave's increase will be 50,000 points. This is like playing a card game where each player "holds" a base stake. The lowest point of the 2022 bear market was 15,443, so this round's "base stake" is 15,443 + 50,000 = 65,443. Coincidentally, this is also the bottom at the monthly level. In early March to April, the price tested this level three times without breaking it, which is why I firmly believe this is the bottom of this bear market (a black swan event might push it down to 55,000-52,000, but it will quickly rebound above 66,000). As for the extreme noise from die-hard bears in the market, it can basically be ignored.
The weekly MACD is already below the zero line; even if a death cross occurs in the future, the lowest point at most would be the lower Bollinger Band at 60,000. Looking at 40,000-30,000, is there some underground magic? Can it fall through the floor and dig underground? #纽交所母公司授权OKX推出原油合约 $BTC $ETH
$BTC I'm not a professional trader. Sometimes I still make mistakes. But compared to when I first started, the pressure of trading now is much less—honestly, these five simple rules changed everything.👇
1️⃣ I never risk more than 1–2% on a single trade.
This rule alone has probably saved my account multiple times. A bad trade should never destroy weeks or months of progress. Small losses are manageable. Huge losses are emotional and dangerous.⚠️
2️⃣ I always set a stop loss before entering a trade.
No more "I'll decide later." That usually turns into wishful thinking.
Now I know where I'm wrong before entering a trade.🧠
3️⃣ If a coin has already surged significantly, I don’t chase the rally.
This used to hurt me a lot. I’d see green candles, feel FOMO, enter late... right before the drop.📉
Now I wait for cleaner setups and better risk/reward ratios.
4️⃣ I only add to winners, not losers.
Revenge adding destroyed many of my trades before.
If the market proves me right, I can cautiously add. If the market proves me wrong, I accept the loss and move on.
5️⃣ I take profits in batches.
Waiting for the "perfect top" cost me too much profit.
Now I lock in profits during the rise and let the rest continue holding without pressure.💰
Once I stopped chasing perfection, trading became much easier.
Discipline is more important than prediction.
What’s your number one rule in crypto trading?👀$BTC $ETH #纽交所母公司授权OKX推出原油合约
Scan the QR code with your camera or open the link in your browser, and share the grand prize of 18.88 BTC! #披萨节狂欢:集齐食材卡,瓜分15BTC $BTC $ETH $HYPE
【$DOGE dropped to 0.10, is it licking blood at the edge or continuing to play dead?】
In May 2021, DOGE crashed from $0.73, and when it first dropped near 0.10, the market was full of wails, everyone thought it was over. The fear and greed index was also around 25 at that time.
What happened next? DOGE hovered around 0.10 for two weeks, then directly surged 50%.
I'm not saying history will repeat itself. I'm just saying that every time DOGE enters this "everyone thinks it will go to zero" zone, that's often when things get really interesting.
Currently, DOGE is at $0.1006, down 2.7% in 24 hours, down 9.2% in 7 days. On the surface, it does look bad. But pay attention to one detail: trading volume remains active, and capital participation has not shrunk. What does this mean? It means some are running, but some are also buying in.
Fear and greed index is 25, weekly average just 27, basically in sync with the market. Under this sentiment, most people choose to watch or cut losses.
It has dropped 86% from ATH, is this drop big enough? Yes, it is. But low valuation does not mean it will rise immediately; it needs a new catalyst. You need to think: has the fundamentals of this sector undergone a fundamental change?
My judgment: 0.098651 is the recent lifeline; as long as it is not effectively broken, there is still room for play. 0.105798 is the short-term ceiling; only breaking through here can we talk about a new narrative.
Signal direction? I don't give ambiguous things. I tend to see this as a window to observe a shift from wait-and-see to bullish, but it's not yet time to ALL IN.
What is your signal direction? #纽交所母公司授权OKX推出原油合约 $BTC $ETH
$BTC If the position is large enough and the liquidation price is far enough, the funding fee for shorting mainstream coins accumulates a lot in a day. Based on my last position of 3500 oil at 100x leverage, the daily funding fee to pay is about 110 oil.
I didn't close at 2066; I saw the drop last night when I stayed up, but I didn't exit. Now it has risen back up, and although the profit has retraced, I'm not at a loss. I set the upper limit for the second position at around 2600; if it really hits 2600, I might stop loss. If it continues to rise, I will keep adding to the position!
Anyway, it's not a bull market, so no need to be afraid. Doing short-term trades every day is really exhausting. With such a small position these past two days, the highest profit was over 400 oil at the lowest point. The goal of doubling the position has been achieved, mainly because the liquidation price is far, so I can hold on.
Let's see how long I can hold this time, brothers. I never thought of breaking even with one position at 16,000 oil, but since it has dropped so much, I'm wondering if it can break 2000. If the bear market restarts the bull market, then a price of around 2000 for the second coin doesn't seem very attractive. Panic hasn't reached its extreme yet, so will the 2000 level be broken through? No matter how much the second position rebounds this time, 200 or 300 points is probably the limit.
I'll add some oil to the trading account tonight; this time I'm going for revenge shorting. Losing 16,000 oil has taken away my joy as a man. Now even if a beauty is in front of me, I have no interest. I want to get my position back.
Tomorrow I'll try with a male fan. $ETH $BTC #纽交所母公司授权OKX推出原油合约
$FIL Stunning Reversal! From $0.71 to Doubling Rebound, AI+DePIN Dual Catalysts Ignite, Potential Value Reassessment in 2026 (Exclusive Release on May 25, 2026) In May, amid a turbulent and adjusting crypto market with most coins languishing, FIL
FIL's Stunning Reversal! From $0.71 to Doubling Rebound, AI+DePIN Dual Catalysts Ignite, Potential Value Reassessment in 2026
(Exclusive Release on May 25, 2026)
In May, during a volatile crypto market with most coins underperforming, FIL (Filecoin) broke out powerfully as a "dark horse," staging a market-shaking comeback! From the historical low of $0.71 in October 2025, it rebounded to reach a high of $1.32 by mid-May, an 85% increase, and recently has been strongly oscillating between $0.95-$1.05, becoming the brightest "king of rebounds" in a sluggish market!
1. Counter-trend Surge! Why Did FIL Become the Strongest Trend in May?
From May 6 to 8, FIL surged 43.6% in 3 days amid an overall market pullback, jumping from $0.97 straight to $1.32, with trading volume expanding simultaneously by 108% from the bottom phase, forming a classic "volume-price surge" strong pattern!
Many wonder: Why FIL? Why now?
The core logic hits industry pain points, with three major hard catalysts igniting the rally:
- ✅ AI + Distributed Storage, Golden Track Dual Resonance: The explosion of AI large model training and massive data storage demand, with traditional centralized storage suffering high costs and privacy risks, positions FIL as the world's largest decentralized storage network, naturally fitting AI data storage needs and becoming a core capital target for AI infrastructure deployment!
- ✅ DePIN Narrative Returns, Veteran Leader's Comeback: The DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks) sector is strongly reviving in 2026. FIL, as the "pioneer" in DePIN, boasts over 10EiB of effective storage power and thousands of global nodes, with leading technology implementation and ecosystem scale, attracting continuous capital inflow!
- ✅ Fundamentals Continuously Optimizing, Selling Pressure Sharply Reduced + Ecosystem Explosion: Token release mechanisms are tightening, miner unlock selling pressure significantly lowered; heavyweight features like Onchain Cloud launched, breaking down barriers between decentralized storage and traditional cloud services, accelerating enterprise client adoption #纽交所母公司授权OKX推出原油合约 $BTC $ETH
Scan the QR code with your camera or open the link in your browser, and share the grand prize of 18.88 BTC! #披萨节狂欢:集齐食材卡,瓜分15BTC $BTC $ETH $HYPE @OKX中文
$BTC The 30 Best Trading Rules in the World
Trading is not just about numbers; it is a three-dimensional battle that primarily takes place within the trader. Missing any key element can quickly ruin a trader. Traders must first establish a robust trading system that matches their personality and risk tolerance. Then, they must trade consistently, maintaining discipline and conviction through ups and downs. But that's not all. Risk exposure must also be managed prudently through position sizing and limiting holdings. Risk management must help traders survive losing streaks and even give them the chance to become profitable.
Here are thirty rules to help novice traders survive their first year in the market or bring unprofitable traders closer to profitability.
Trade with the right mindset.
Trader Psychology
Be flexible in responding to market price action; stubbornness, ego, and emotions are the worst indicators for entry and exit.
Understand that traders only choose their entries, exits, position sizes, and risks, while the market decides whether they profit.
You must have a trading plan before you start trading; this must be the anchor of your decisions.
You must give up always wanting your trades to be right and instead focus on making money. The first step to making money is to cut losses immediately once you realize you are wrong.
Never trade a position size so large that emotions control your trading plan.
"If it feels good, don’t do it." – Richard Wiseman
Trade your largest positions during winning streaks and your smallest positions during losing streaks. Don’t overtrade; keep positions minimal during losing periods.
Don’t worry about losses you can make back; worry about losing your trading discipline.
A losing trade costs you money, but letting a big losing trade get out of control can cost you confidence. For your nerves and capital protection, cut losses timely.
Traders only succeed when they have confidence in themselves as traders, confidence in their profitable trading system, and know they will maintain discipline throughout their trading journey.
Reduce your bankruptcy risk to almost zero.
Risk Management
Never enter a trade without knowing where you will exit if you are wrong.
First, find the appropriate stop-loss level so you know when the trade is wrong, then size your position according to that price level.
Focus like a laser on the capital you might lose in any trade, not the profits you might make.
Structure your trades with position sizing and stop-losses to ensure you never lose more than 1% of your trading capital on a losing trade.
Never expose your trading account to more than 5% total risk at any time.
Understand the nature of volatility and adjust your position size according to volatility spikes to handle increased risk.
Never add to losing trades. Ultimately, this will destroy your trading account when you fight against the wrong trend.
All your trades should end in one of four ways: small win, big win, small loss, or breakeven, but never a big loss. If you can eliminate big losses, you have a great chance of eventual trading success.
Be extremely stubborn about risk management rules; don’t give an inch. Defense wins sports games, and profits in trading.
Most of the time, following stop-losses is more profitable than aiming for profit targets. We need big wins to offset losing trades. Trends often go further than anyone expects.
Develop a profitable trading system that fits your personality.
Your Trading Approach
"Trade what is happening... not what you think will happen." – Doug Gregory
Within your timeframe, catch strength and short weakness.
Find your edge relative to other traders.
Your trading system must be built on quantifiable facts, not opinions.
Trade charts, not news.
A strong trading system is designed either to have a high win rate or big wins and small losses.
Only take trades where the risk-reward is tilted in your favor.
The answer to the question "What is the trend?" is "What is your timeframe?" – Richard Wiseman. Trade primarily in the market’s trend direction within your timeframe until it changes.
Only take real entries with an edge; avoid being distracted by meaningless noise.
Set your stop-loss outside the noise range so you only get stopped out when you might be wrong.#纽交所母公司授权OKX推出原油合约 $BTC $ETH