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Even though I was seeing clear bearish signals on the daily chart after April 7, I never felt the urge to short aggressively. Why? Because on the 5-day and weekly timeframes, it looked more like a slowdown in upward momentum, not a confirmed shift into bearish energy. That distinction matters.
Before critical support levels like 76,200 and 74,000 are broken effectively, I refuse to short even if the short-term trend looks weak. My personal margin positions are heavily tilted long, so holding shorts mid-to-long term just doesn't fit my strategy or risk profile.
The deeper we drop, the less sense shorting makes. Newer BTC miners have cost bases between 75,000 and 60,000. If we are in a bear market but your target is the next bull run, holding long-term shorts is a losing game unless you genuinely want crypto to go to zero. The final trap for pure bearish thinking is getting caught at the bottom.
That said, chasing pumps right now will also get you wrecked. The play is patience. Wait to buy near major support zones. No mid-range longs. Let the weekly chart show a sustained bounce in momentum first, like the 4-5 week accumulation window we saw from April 7 to May 5. Only then does it make sense to shift strategy.
Stay disciplined. Let the market come to you.
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